Previewing Tonight’s Championship Games

Sort of more than one game. We’re going to talk about the Pac-West and CCAA, but… As much as we know quite a bit, we feel like if anyone tells you that they know a lot this year: they’re lying. We follow the region as closely as anybody, and we can’t figure it out.

All times pacific standard.

Cal Baptist vs. Azusa Pacific @ 2pm.

We’ll be watching for a bit and then following the rest on our phone. We have no idea what’s going to happen. It should be crazy. The teams played each other really closely during the regular season. APU seems like slightly more of a bubble team than Cal Baptist. There are a few former beloved GNAC players involved in the game: Alex Birketoft, Kalidou Diouf, and Joey Schreiber. Good luck to all three, plus all of their respective teammates.

UC San Diego vs. Humboldt State @ 5:05pm

Another game that we don’t know what’s going to happen. They split during the regular season. Humboldt State is fighting for the auto-bid, UCSD should be safe, but obviously would still love to win. No clue on this one. Part of us says “UCSD” and part of us says “No, Humboldt is going to want it way more.” So we shall see.

Alaska-Fairbanks vs. Western Oregon @ 5:30pm

Who knows. We love how strong UAF has come on and we feel like WOU has been waning just slightly. WOU had a heart attack of a game vs. SPU and yet we feel like it prepared them pretty well for today because it was such a defensive grind-it-out and Andy Avgi was actually rather shut down, so look for him to bounce back. On the other hand: UAF had a game vs. WWU where they got to be all-offense, all the time, so playing defense shouldn’t be too bad because they’ve got their offensive urges out of their system. Travante had a good game, Joe Slocum had a fantastic game, Bangaly was okay but look for him to bounce back. Almir had his best game in a while. Great preparation to take on the mighty Wolves of Western Oregon, so… Should be good. Can’t wait to watch it.


Bracketology…

1. Western Oregon

The rest? Who knows. We suspect that even tomorrow when we know who the three autobids are, we’re still going to have no idea how to seed them. So much parity.

Teams that are on the bubble:

Azusa Pacific, Cal Baptist, UC San Diego, Chico State, Cal Poly Pomona, Humboldt State, Seattle Pacific, Alaska-Anchorage, Alaska-Fairbanks.

We think that Humboldt and UAF will only get the nod if they get the respective autobids, which should add substantially more fervency to their play, which is why we suspect they’ll win. If they do win and the following happens (seeds arbitrary except WOU):

1. Western Oregon
2. Alaska-Fairbanks
3. UC San Diego
4. Humboldt State
5. Azusa Pacific
6. Cal Baptist

We figure that Cal Baptist, Azusa Pacific, and UCSD are all in, regardless of today’s result. So who gets the final three spots?

7. Chico State
8. Seattle Pacific

If UAF and/or Humboldt State lose, it’ll be Cal Poly Pomona vs. Alaska-Anchorage.

Let’s compare those two teams in regard to conference losses and non-conference wins.

Cal Poly Pomona (22-7)
Non-conference: Won at Azusa Pacific and beat Point Loma at home.
Conference losses: UCSD x3, Cal State LA, Dominguez Hills, Monterey Bay, and Stanislaus.

Alaska-Anchorage (21-11)
Non-conference: Lost to Cal Baptist, Colorado Springs, and Dominguez Hills; beat Upper Iowa.
Conference losses: Western Oregon (x2), Saint Martin’s, Seattle Pacific, MSU-Billings, Central Washington, and Western Washington.

It’s weird to look at Cal Poly Pomona and go “well, they had a good non-conference schedule” but compared to Anchorage they did. Looking at it this way, Anchorage’s best hope is that UAF and Humboldt both lose because the Nooks and Jacks have by far the worst SOS of anyone in contention.

Seattle Pacific should be in because their record is 22-8, their SOS is the best in the region, and they lost to #1 seed WOU by less than Cal Poly Pomona lost to UCSD. Chico State should be in because they won the CCAA, have a record of 22-6, and their non-conference was middle-of-the-pack.


That’s where we’re at. We’ll see where we’re at either later tonight or tomorrow morning. Our bracketology obsession would suggest you’ll see a post later tonight.

Good luck to all six teams; be safe, have fun, west coast is best coast.

Advertisements

2 comments

  1. Anonymous

    Curious what you think about Dixie. They lost in the first round of their tourney to Cal Baptist by a lot, but they were ranked 8th in the final regional ranking this week and they beat UAF in non-conference play. Wouldn’t they still be a bubble team? I would be surprised if UAA was still in the conversation. They were ranked 10th this week in the regional rankings (UAF passed them at 9), and UAA lost straight away to a sub 0.500 team (WWU)… But, as you said, what do we know? Really. So crazy and so fun!

    Like

    • GNAC Men's BasketBlog

      Contemplated Dixie, obviously like them because they were a part of the GNAC’s SOS, but it seems like a slim chance that more than one bubble team gets in and if one gets in, it’ll be Cal Poly Pomona. We threw Anchorage in just because we’ve kind of been pissing them off all year and so we felt the need for some redemption. At this point, Dixie has to know that we love them because our alma mater plays Dixie literally every year in non-conference and so we constantly rely on them for our specific SOS. We’ll include Dixie in the bracketology we do later tonight once we know who has the auto-bids.

      Like

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s