Discussions: Breaking the 2nd Half Schedule DOWN.

Here is a straight up list of predictions/non-predictions in terms of each team in context with their second half home and away schedule. Guessed wins are in green, losses in red, and undecided black.

Best case scenario is best case scenario from a rational and reasonable standpoint. If everything goes to heck, SFU/SMU/MSUB gets dumped in a pit of toxic waste, and/or a meteor falls on WOU/CWU but the season continues, please disregard.

They’re listed in the usual geographic order (north to south, east to west by travel partner pairing), rather than by actual date. Current number in the conference standings is listed before name.

10. Alaska-Fairbanks
Home: SPU, MSUB, SMU, WOU
Away: UAA, SFU, WWU, CWU, NNU

Currently: 2-7
Best case: 7-10

4. Alaska-Anchorage
Home: UAF, SPU, MSUB, SMU, WOU
Away: SFU, WWU, CWU, NNU

Currently: 6-3
Best case: 13-5

10. Simon Fraser
Home: UAF, UAA, CWU, NNU
Away: WWU, SPU, MSUB, SMU, WOU

Currently: 2-7
Best case: 5-13

6. Western Washington
Home: UAF, UAA, SFU, CWU, NNU
Away: SPU, MSUB, SMU, WOU

Currently: 3-6
Best case: 11-7

2. Seattle Pacific
Home: SFU, WWU, MSUB, CWU, NNU
Away: UAF, UAA, SMU, WOU,

Currently: 7-2
Best Case: 13-5

10. MSU-Billings
Home: SFU, WWU, CWU, NNU
Away: UAF, UAA, SPU, SMU, WOU,

Currently: 2-7
Best Case: 5-14

2. Central Washington
Home: UAF, UAA, SMU, WOU
Away: SFU, WWU, SPU, MSUB, NNU

Currently: 7-2
Best Case: 15-3

4. Northwest Nazarene
Home: UAF, UAA, CWU, SMU, WOU
Away: SFU, WWU, SPU, MSUB

Currently: 6-3
Best Case: 12-6

10. Saint Martin’s
Home: SFU, WWU, SPU, MSUB, WOU
Away: UAF, UAA, CWU, NNU

Currently: 2-7
Best Case: 5-13

1. Western Oregon
Home: SFU, WWU, SPU, MSUB
Away: UAF, UAA, CWU, NNU, SMU

Currently: 7-1
Best Case: 16-1

You may note that some of those don’t agree with each other; that doesn’t matter. These are hypothetical and it’s going for the mindset of each team. CWU has a mindset that they can beat anybody; same with WOU. SPU and WWU’s mindset is that they expect to beat everybody, and so they’re shocked when someone can run with them, much less runs the table against them -very different.

If that situation happened (which obviously it can’t), the projected conference order would be:

1. WOU
2. CWU
3. SPU
4. UAA
4. NNU
6. WWU
7. UAF
10. SMU
10. SFU
10. MSUB

In a three way tie for one conference tournament spot, who ya got? According to current standings at the half way mark… they’re all tied. In terms of who’s beaten whom: SMU beat MSUB, MSUB beat SFU, and SFU beat SMU.

Which means that SFU would go, because they have the best win against a conference team out of the three -they beat WWU, while SMU and MSUB both beat UAF. If it went to overall percentage, Simon Fraser would still get the nod, being an extrapolated 10-16. Win those non-conference games, yo!

Once again: the best case scenario can’t happen for every team -it’s going to be more complicated than what’s listed above (although probably not more complicated than what’s listed directly above) and the second half of the season gets underway, along what is essentially the I-5 corridor, in T-Minus 9 hours.


Game day preview’ll be up at noon.

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